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House Races
House District 114 (Republican)
Predicted Republican Range: +4 to -2
Long predicted to be the top race in Illinois, Kevin Schmidt has outpaced LaToya Greenwood as Black turnout continues to lag, and now even Democrats are now saying Schmidt is favored to hold on, though the race will likely be close.
| Name | # | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
 |
Kevin Schmidt (R) | 25057 | 52.24% |
 |
LaToya Greenwood (D) | 22911 | 47.76% |
House District 104 (Republican)
Predicted Republican Range: +3 to -4
Appointed Rep Brandun Schweizer’s seat is a key hold for Republicans. Some are concerned about the district’s performance in a presidential year, especially with the massive amount spent by unions and leftist groups for Jarrett Clem.
| Name | # | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
 |
Brandun Schweizer (R) | 23,509 | 50.30% |
 |
Jarrett Clem (D) | 23,229 | 49.70% |
House District 47 (Republican)
Predicted Republican Range: +2 to -9
This rematch between Amy Grant and Jackie Williamson has been very one-sided, with Republicans essentially conceding the race and leaving Grant to mostly fend for herself. She is a survivor, but it may take a miracle for her to win this time.
| Name | # | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
 |
Amy Grant (R) | 29830 | 50.27% |
 |
Jackie WIlliamson (D) | 29504 | 49.73% |
House District 52 (Republican)
Predicted Republican Range: +3 to -7
Democrats have spent massive money in this race for Maria Peterson, burying Marty McLaughlin, who has received little-to-no help from the House Republican Organization. This is a solidly GOP district, but McLaughlin’s campaign has many nervous.
| Name | # | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
 |
Marty McLaughlin (R) | 28,487 | 50.82% |
 |
Maria Peterson (D) | 27,563 | 49.18% |
House District 45 (Democrat)
Predicted Republican Range: +2 to -6
One of the top pickup opportunities for Republicans, Dennis Reboletti is giving Marti Dueter a solid challenge. Trump performs badly in this suburban district so Reboletti will have to significantly outperform the top of the ticket to win.
| Name | # | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
 |
Dennis Reboletti (R) | 26008 | 46.19% |
 |
Marti Deuter (D) | 30297 | 53.81% |
House District 112 (Democrat)
Predicted Republican Range: +2 to -5
Republicans finally have a serious challenger for Katie Stuart in Jay Keeven in a region that is trending towards Republicans. The House Republican Organization came in late, but everyone is all in now and the race is absolutely in play.
| Name | # | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
 |
Jay Keevan (R) | 23555 | 45.36% |
 |
Katie Stuart (D) | 28373 | 54.64% |
House District 51 (Democrat)
Predicted Republican Range: -2 to -10
In a district that locally is solidly Republican, one would think this would be a top priority district, but that hasn’t been the case. Tosi Ufodike has had to go it mostly alone in her race against the extremely well-funded Nabeela Syed.
| Name | # | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
 |
Tosi Ufodike (R) | 25,117 | 43.95% |
 |
Nabeela Syed (D) | 32,029 | 56.05% |
House District 76 (Democrat)
Predicted Republican Range: +1 to -7
With the popular moderate Democrat incumbent retiring, Republicans have been excited about Liz Bishop. Though the district still leans Democrat, especially the northern portion in a presidential year, making Amy Murri Briel the favorite.
| Name | # | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
 |
Liz Bishop (R) | 23304 | 49.37% |
 |
Amy Murri Briel (D) | 23897 | 50.63% |
House District 97 (Democrat)
Predicted Republican Range: +2 to -5
House Republicans have dedicated substantial resources to this race, sensing an opportunity for Gabby Shanahan in this working class district. Harry Benton has made repeated missteps while trying to promote a more moderate image. Some predict a big surprise in this race.
| Name | # | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
 |
Gabby Shanahan (R) | 25,205 | 47.82% |
 |
Harry Benton (D) | 27,500 | 52.18% |
House District 91 (Democrat)
Predicted Republican Range: 0 to -7
House Republicans were high on Desi Anderson to start but have since pulled out of the race. Sharon Chung is vulnerable in a winnable district for Republicans, but it doesn’t appear 2024 will be the year the district goes red.
| Name | # | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
 |
Desi Anderson (R) | 23,685 | 46.54% |
 |
Sharon Chung (D) | 27,205 | 53.46% |
House District 79 (Republican)
Predicted Republican Range: +14 to +3
Democrats have been targeting Jackie Haas all cycle, and they are high on Billy Morgan. But Haas is very well liked in a solidly Republican district, even in the Trump era. Haas will likely win handily.
| Name | # | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
 |
Jackie Haas (R) | 25078 | 55.74% |
 |
Billy Morgan (D) | 19910 | 44.26% |
Senate & Congressional
Senate District 40 (Democrat)
Predicted Republican Range: -3 to -10
With very few Senate districts up for election this year, Senate Republicans really only had this race, so they made a go of it behind Phil Nagel. But Patrick Joyce is well known in this blue working-class district and Republicans began pulling back a month ago.
| Name | # | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
 |
Phil Nagel (R) | 39727 | 44.09% |
 |
Patrick Joyce (D) | 50375 | 55.91% |
17th Congressional District (Democrat)
Predicted Republican Range: +1 to -7
While rated Likely Democrat nationally, this working-class district only leans Democrat and Eric Sorensen is too progressive for the region. It’s an uphill battle for Joe McGraw, but Republicans have put some resources into the race and it has the chance to surprise.
| Name | # | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
 |
Joe McGraw (R) | 115750 | 46.96% |
 |
Eric Sorenson (D) | 130738 | 53.04% |
County & Appellate
Lake County State’s Attorney (Democrat)
Predicted Republican Range: 0 to -12
In the Trump era, Lake County is difficult to win for Republicans. But Kim Foxx acolyte Eric Rinehart has fully embraced the far-left pro-criminal agenda, creating a narrow opening for Mary Cole. If Republicans are going to do well in Lake County, they need Cole to perform well.
| Name | # | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
 |
Mary Cole (R) | 137353 | 45.19% |
 |
Eric Rinehart (D) | 166571 | 54.81% |
DuPage County Auditor (Democrat)
Predicted Republican Range: +2 to -6
Bob Grogan is running to retake the Auditor role after losing it by just 66 votes last time. Democrats have been in the news repeatedly for their poor job running DuPage County government, potentially giving Grogan the edge against Bill White.
| Name | # | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
 |
Bob Grogan (R) | 216959 | 49.50% |
 |
Bill White (D) | 221337 | 50.50% |
Will County Clerk (Democrat)
Predicted Performance Range for Republican Candidate: +1 to -6
This open seat, previously held by a Democrat, gives Republicans an opportunity in a county where they have performed better than most of the suburbs. While there hasn’t been much of a campaign, Annette Parker has a chance against Michelle Stiff.
| Name | # | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
 |
Annette Parker (R) | 158207 | 50.20% |
 |
Michelle Stiff (D) | 156977 | 49.80% |
3rd Appellate District (Democrat)
Predicted Republican Range: +4 to -4
While only one of the three vacancies have turned out to be competitive, Kenton Skarin has given Republicans an excellent chance at a pickup in the Lytton vacancy by running a strong campaign against the unpopular John Anderson.
| Name | # | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
 |
Kenton Skarin (R) | 437115 | 48.95% |
 |
John Anderson (D) | 455805 | 51.05% |
